Most Won World Cup Team Cricket – How England won the Cricket World Cup Flexible tactics, outstanding performances, smart choices and great luck all helped
Lord’s, the historic home of cricket, has never seen anything like it before. There weren’t 30,000 spectators in the stadium, and there weren’t 8 million Brits watching in homes, pubs and cricket clubs across the country. On July 14, England won their first World Cup in the most unusual ending imaginable. The winners have spent four years refining their game to focus primarily on the one-day international (ODI) format used in the World Cup, rather than five-day Test matches or rapid-fire T20 matches. They rose to the first place in the ODI rankings. But nothing could have prepared him for Sunday’s final. The final match ended in a tie twice.
Most Won World Cup Team Cricket
Ties are rare in ODIs. This is because it is unlikely that each team will score exactly the same number of runs in a 300-pitch inning. Until Sunday, there had been only four of the 436 completed matches in World Cup history. As England approached the end of their innings, struggling to chase down New Zealand’s total of 241 on a dangerous pitch, a stalemate still seemed unlikely. With 22 runs needed with nine balls remaining, the hosts’ chances of victory fell to 9%, with a draw at 10%, according to cricket data company CricViz. England managed to increase their point tally to 241.
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This unlikely stalemate led to a ‘super over’, a tiebreaker never used in an ODI before, in which each team was given six extra balls. However, this resulted in another tie and England exploded for 15 points before allowing New Zealand to equalise. Ultimately, the match was decided in a way fans had never heard of: the number of boundaries scored. The Kiwis needed 16 runs off the last ball of the super over as they only managed 17 points to England’s 26. Although it fell short, it caused chaos in the elegant arena.
It was harsh for New Zealand that this remarkable match was decided in such an ambiguous manner (they also lost to Australia in the final in 2015). But for English fans, there was a tendency to count the boundaries. As Game Theory pointed out before the tournament, the rise from World Cup elimination in 2015 to championship contenders in 2019 was thanks to more aggressive hitting tactics. Where English players used to swing their willows as sparingly in ODIs as they do in Tests, they are now constantly swinging towards the boundary ropes. Opening batsmen Jason Roy and Jonny Bairstow epitomize this approach. Neither was selected in 2015, but now they are the fastest scoring opening pair in ODI history. This risky strategy sometimes ends in disastrous failure. England suffered two of their biggest defeats in their history last year. But more often than not, the hard hitters win.
The World Cup was supposed to be full of high-scoring matches, with other teams emulating England’s tactics. Some experts predicted a record ODI score of 500. However, such expectations soon turned out to be unrealistic. The average score in the first innings was 271, slightly different from the average for matches between World Cup teams in the last 18 months. (Cricket statisticians often exclude the innings of the second team when making such calculations, as the total is limited to the score of the first team.) In fact, 400 runs no team surpassed it. The initial scores for the semifinals and final were 223, 239 and 241.
Experts and players have offered several explanations for the medium score, including hard pitches, good bowling and the pressure of competing in the tournament. The number crunchers at CricViz have found some evidence for the first two theories. In England, in only one of the last five seasons has the pitch been more helpful to the ODI bowler (judging by the change in the ball’s trajectory after the bounce). The weather probably contributed to this. June was the wettest month in British history, and ‘sticky wickets’ are famous for causing the ball to slide off the ground unexpectedly. Also, in a cooler atmosphere, there is less destructive convection, so the cricket ball curves more sharply.
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This contributed to the effectiveness of the bowlers. The ‘expected average’ (a figure that estimates how much each wicket costs, given the quality of the ball delivered) of 32.2 runs during the World Cup was higher than any ODI series held in England since 2014. It is also low. Did hard-hitting England win a bowler-friendly tournament?
Four reasons stood out. First, the hosts learned to be tactically flexible. In the two years before the World Cup, in matches won by coin toss, England chose to bowl in the first innings 89% of the time. This decision is supported by data. From 2010 to the eve of the World Cup, CricViz found that team bowlers won around 55% of their first ODI matches. The main reason for this is probably that at-bats often become easier as the day progresses, as the pitches become drier, flatter, and more predictable. In 56% of ODIs from 2015 to 2019, the surface provided more assists to the bowler in the first innings than the second. The figure rose to 64% in England, where cloudy, dewy mornings are particularly troublesome for batsmen.
But something strange happened in the World Cup. The pitch favored the first side bowler only 41% of the time. The lack of sunny afternoons may have caused the grass to become soft instead of compacted. Of the 43 matches completed, only 15 (35%) were won by side bowling first. In the pool stages of the World Cup, England stuck to this approach, scoring a total of 349 against Pakistan, 286 against Australia and, most shockingly, 233 against a mediocre Sri Lankan team with a minefield of pitches. I can not follow it. . On the brink of humiliating elimination, the hosts changed tack. They chose to bat first against the powerhouses India and New Zealand and successfully defended 337 and 305.
A second explanation for England’s success was some outstanding performances, even compared to the team’s previously high standards (see graphic). Four strongmen made significant improvements. Roy averaged 22 more balls per dismissal in the World Cup than he had in the previous four years, and scored at a faster pace in the longer innings. All-rounder Ben Stokes also occupied the crease with more balls than usual. The improvement in bowling is probably even greater because of the pitch. Three-seam bowlers Stokes, Mark Wood and Liam Plunkett conceded fewer runs than usual.
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The third significant factor was England’s decision to select Jofra Archer. The 24-year-old Barbadian, whose father is British, has previously shown his talent in overseas T20 leagues, but was granted a place in the squad by UK residency just before the tournament. (The English Cricket Board changed the eligibility criteria from seven years to three years at the end of 2018.) Only two players have taken more wickets at the World Cup. Of those who bowled at least 300 deliveries, only four scored runs at a more disastrous rate. His performance was far superior to the historical performance of any other English bowler who could have come in his place. And he completed a ‘super over’ to take home the trophy.
But even the most ardent English fan would have recognized the importance of a fourth factor: luck. Cricket is full of events that are out of each team’s control, such as injuries, weather, unpredictable bounces and umpire decisions. In some cases, these random fluctuations can balance out during a tournament. However, two lucky moments came for England during the climax of the World Cup. The first match was played with three balls left in England’s innings and nine runs needed. Mr. Stokes slammed the delivery along the ground. As he bounded into the crease to complete the double, the ball (thrown by New Zealand’s best fielder, Martin Guptill) ricocheted off his bat and flew into the boundary line. The strange “transgressions”, extremely rare, gave England a decisive 6 points. Two of the runs were earned by batsmen sprinting between the wickets, while four were due to fielding errors.
But second happiness was discovered the morning after England’s raucous celebrations. The former umpire noted that when Mr Guptill bowled the ball, Mr Stokes and his batting partner had not yet crossed in their attempt for a double. Therefore, only the first point should be counted, along with the four points of the reversal. England would have been stranded on 240. Ambiguous sub-clauses of the rules, such as the boundary count that gave England the title, will haunt New Zealanders for decades.
But for most fans, the defining memory of the tournament will be the drama of the final hours. Other moments disappear quickly. Apart from the two finalists (and India, who lost to New Zealand in the semi-finals), there was always a lack of good teams. South Africa were hopeless, the West Indies were disappointing, Sri Lanka were a pale copy of themselves and Pakistan remained woefully inconsistent. Afghanistan was held back by domestic politics and strange decisions on the field. The format was unbalanced, so
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